Precise Prediction of Hurricane Power vs Ocean Temperature
نویسندگان
چکیده
It has long been known that hurricanes, the strongest and most destructive atmospheric events, do not occur below a sea surface temperature near 26 C. The detailed dependence of hurricane power on ocean is increasing interest concern in prospect continuing global warming. was usefully quantified by Emanuel 2005 with definition tabulations dissipation index, PDI. This integral over relevant areas cube maximum windspeed, representiting dissipated one year. In his important paper found PDI for North Atlantic increased strongly recent decades showed plots close correlation temperature. A critical Tc, linear T-Tc law dependence, typical continuous phase transition, hurricanes have prcviously (Wolf, 2020) inferred from index vs T. implies tropical cyclone formation can be regarded as second order transition warm ocean-atmosphere system, driven disequilibrium water content. We here show theory transitions allows precise prediction windspeed find wind velocity same universality class Ising Model, uniaxial antiferromagenet vapor- liquid simple fluids, shares their exponent. An implication applicability potential intensity noted.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International journal of atmospheric and oceanic sciences
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2640-1142', '2640-1150']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijaos.20210501.11